23Sep

Just how do cognitive biases strongly related to overseas policy choice-and then make aggregate in teams?

Just how do cognitive biases strongly related to overseas policy choice-and then make aggregate in teams?

Of numerous inclinations recognized on behavioral decision-and make literary works – such as for instance reactive devaluation, intentionality bias, and you will risk-seeking about website name regarding loss – have got all come connected with hawkishness in overseas coverage solutions, probably enhancing the likelihood of dispute, nevertheless manner in which this type of “hawkish biases” work with the tiny class contexts where overseas coverage conclusion are made try unfamiliar. I industry three large-size classification experiments to check on how this type of biases aggregate from inside the groups. We discover you to definitely teams are only since at the mercy of such canonical biases just like the somebody, with none hierarchical neither lateral category choice-and then make formations somewhat attenuating brand new magnitude of prejudice. Additionally, diverse communities manage similarly to way more homogeneous of them, indicating comparable amounts of prejudice and somewhat enhanced likelihood of discord. These types of performance advise that at the least with the sorts of biases, the latest “aggregation disease” may be reduced problematic for mental concepts within the IR than some critics keeps argued. This has important ramifications to possess information overseas policy choice-making, new character of class processes, as well as the behavioural wave within the IR.